Wadden Sea: Possible mean change of the storm intensity in summer until the end of the 21st century (2066-2095) compared to today (1961-1990): Ambiguous

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B1 - ECHAM5 (Run 1) - CCLM
Wadden Sea:

According to current research the change of of the storm intensity until the end of the 21st century (2066-2095) in summer compared to today (1961-1990) unclear.
Some models show an increase, others show a decrease for this area
The range of this change may lie between -10% and +4%. From today's view, all changes inside this range are plausible.
The possible mean change is -2%. This is the climate model result which is the nearest to the mean of all climate model results. The possible medium change is not more probable than any of the other results of the ensemble. Though, it is often used as a guiding value for adaption strategies.

This map is a result of the assumption of a certain greenhouse gas concentration used in a certain regional climate model:

More results of the same climate scenario

If you have questions concerning these maps, click here and write us. as 02/2023

This website is steadily updated, thus some results may change.

Note:
The maps of this website are freely available for private use. Publication of contents or maps only with permission of the North German Climate Office.

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